I Wish It Was Christmas Today

CMM December 22nd, 2009

Yesterday, Jimmy Fallon had former SNL co-star Horatio Sanz on Late Night  to perform an old SNL sketch–I Wish It Was Christmas Today. It’s cute, amusing, and takes you back to that era of SNL… but at around 1 minute in, the camera shifts to the performance stage where Julian Casabalancas (of The Strokes) and The Roots take over the performance. Pretty freakin’ awesome and Casablancas sounds awesome as ever. I hear this is a hidden track on Casablancas new album (also cool).

So enjoy…

The House of Representatives Loves High Unemployment, Punishes Job Creators

CMM December 10th, 2009

Over the past few days, President Obama has turned up the rhetoric on small business growth. He’s held summits (we won’t mention the attendees and who wasn’t invited), he’s included a new laundry list of talking points, and issued a round of encouraging statements. This past Tuesday, December 8, the president even went so far as to suggest “a complete elimination of capital gains taxes on small business investment” for one year.

Unfortunately, members of his own party were not listening.  Or, maybe they were but they chose to disregard the president’s guidance. Yesterday, without a public hearing or committee vote, the Democratic controlled House of Representatives voted to raise the tax rate on carried interest paid to equity fund managers to 35% from 15%. This 133% increase was accomplished by reclassifying carried interest from a capital gain to ordinary income. That’s why today’s headlines should read “House of Representatives Loves High Unemployment, Punishes Job Creators.”

How Does Venture Capital Work?

While this bill applies to many investment groups—including broader private equity, real-estate partnerships, and oil-and-gas partnerships—my perspective is focused on the affect of small business growth resulting from venture capital investment. Venture capital is high risk portfolio style investing that utilizes equity and equity-like investment tools for the purposes of providing development and growth capital for start-up companies. Companies fitting this profile typically have a curve-jumping quality, focus on an underserved and growing market, and have all kinds of risk due to their infancy, sensitivity to the overall economy, and dynamic change factors. As a result, most venture investing is done with a portfolio approach and with a significant return-on-investment expectation.

Investment capital is typically raised from institutional partners such as endowments and pensions, with the occasional inclusion of a high net worth individual. These investment partners compensate a staff, led by fund managers, to manage the investment capital and the portfolio investment. This staff has two methods of compensation, through an annual management fee and with a carried interest bonus upon liquidation of the fund. The management fee goes to pay all expenses, including salaries of the fund, for the life of the fund—typically around 10 years. In my experience, staff members have lower salaries than they could find in other industries, with the majority of their compensation coming in the form of the carried interest bonus. For purposes of this conversation, these salaries are taxed as normal income.

Over ten years, the fund may invest in a handful of companies. Some of those companies may fail, some may break even, and a small number will make a significant return. At the end of the fund, the goal is to return all investment capital to the investment partners, plus the additional money made off the fund. A portion of this additional profit is set-aside as a carried interest bonus to the management team. Traditionally, this bonus has been taxed as a capital gain because of the nature of its source—the money comes from a successful investment and is not a guaranteed return. The money occurs after many years of tedious and patient management of investments.

Changing the tax structure on carried interest changes the economics of incentive for the people that work in venture capital. As financiers, we’re very sensitive to the idea that there is a cost to the capital we deploy. If we fail to meet that hurdle, our investors will look for other investment opportunities. Likewise, there is a cost to the time and resources we commit to managing that capital. If our compensation doesn’t justify the stress and commitment necessary, we’re likely look for alternatives. Ultimately, less potential carried interest return to the management team leads to increasing salary compensation, which results in less capital available for deployment. The other alternative is that we run the risk of venture capitalists seeking careers in other industries. While there are arguably too many funds active today, the mind set and culture of the venture capitalist is a rare animal. Run too many of them off, and you’ll find this to be an endangered species and industry.

Why Should I Care?

To put it bluntly, venture capital provides a unique and critical service to our economy—capital and guidance for start-up companies. According to U.S. Census Bureau data, companies less than 5 years old created nearly two-thirds of net new jobs in 2007. While not all of those companies were candidates for venture capital, a substantial number of them were rapidly growing businesses serving unique market needs. These companies often lack the assets or history to secure debt, making an equity investment like venture capital a lone source of financing. Without access to capital, those companies grow at much slower rates or even close down completely. Our small business economy isn’t a recent phenomenon; it’s been the staple of our economy for the past fifty years. The small business economy and innovation spurred companies like Microsoft, Apple, Oracle, and Amazon to name a few.

Tinkering with the economics of venture capital is playing a dangerous game.  While the short term intent may be to supplement incentives in other areas of the economy, the long-term effects may be regression of small business growth and capital deployment. Why punish a critical piece of the mechanism responsible for two-thirds of business growth?

The Way We Live

CMM December 4th, 2009

I love to read. It’s probably no surprise that my job requires reading dozens of business plans, industry reports, market analysis, and other professional literature. I’ve almost always got a book or two by the bed, and I try to read for 30 minutes to an hour every night before going to sleep. The office closet in my house is packed full of boxed up books because we don’t have the book shelf space in the house (yet). My wish list for Santa this year (yes, I said Santa… got a problem with it?) includes Thunderstruck by Edward Larson, Dante Club by Matthew Pearl, and What Goth Hath Wrought by Daniel Walker Howe. I think you get the point… I love to read.

I stumbled across a list of 50 Books for Our Times from Newsweek. I’m not really a fan of most media outlets, and certainly not your watered-down-for-the-masses types, but my love for reading pulled me to this page. The number one book they recommended was a satirical novel from the 1870′s– The Way We Live Now by Anthony Trollope. I wasn’t familiar with the book or the author, so I did the normal thing. I googled it.

The book is written to capture the general dishonesty of British society during the Victorian-era. The reviews call it a satirical criticism of the commercial, moral, political, and intellectual dishonesty of the age. The more I read, the more I thought about current events. Do we live in an age of rampant dishonesty? I’m not sure, but I can say that I personally feel so disengaged because of the sheer complexity of things. From social to economic to environmental challenges, I’m having a difficult time discerning fact from fiction. Frankly, I feel that  so many issues are driven by disinformation, often in the form of hidden agendas or conspiracies. How do you take your news? Bias parading as fact? Or opinion-driven with a factual grounding? In the digital age, the exchange of information has increased, regardless of value or quality. It’s like the old saying that a lie makes it halfway around the world before the truth even gets its shoes on… Take national security, institutional religion, health care, global warming, the financial system, etc. You spend most of your time digging, looking for something that you can build on. In the end, you’ve got postulations, theories, and eloquent speeches… but do you really have substance? Or just some well constructed theory? So much of it is just smoke and mirrors.

Life deserves to be lived with a sense of honesty. Honesty comes from the truth. Truth comes from questioning.

What Christmas is Really About

CMM December 1st, 2009

Well, lots has taken place since I wrote my last blog entry. I’ve gotten married, went to the Bahamas, moved into our new house, and had my first ever Thanksgiving. Life just moves too fast, and one of the primary purposes of this blog is to slow me down enough to enjoy and digest all of it. I’m planning to do much better.

With the Christmas season in full swing already (we’ve got a tree up and decorated, as well as decorations around the house and wreaths on the windows), I thought it was appropriate to take a moment and think about what Christmas is really about. I think Linus does it justice…

With all the craziness of this season, try to remember to take a few minutes and give thanks for the greatest gift ever–a Savior.

Summary: Kauffman Comments on Angel Group Investing in 2008

CMM August 10th, 2009

I know it’s a little stale (seeing as it’s now August 2009), but here is a little commentary from the folks at Kauffman on the activity of angel groups in 2008. In case you don’t want to read the whole thing (Kauffman folks are typically long-winded, although this is relatively brief) here are some key considerations:

On deals (micro-economic):

  • 2008 average investment per deal was $276,918
  • Average number of investments was 6.3
  • Average number of new investments was 3.7
  • The largest identified sweet spot, with over 40% support, was between $250,000 and $500,000

On the investing (macro-economic):

  • More than 2/3rds of respondents think current economic conditions will extended until 2010
  • Uncertainty of the economy, a desire to preserve capital for follow-on investment, and loss of wealth were identified as the primary reasons for closing less deals
  • 2009 will bring more quantity and quality deals for angels
  • The current environment is providing more attractive (author’s note: and realistic) valuations
  • Nearly 3/5ths of respondents expect the liquidity time line to be greater than five years
  • Respondents expect to increase their co-investment with other angel groups, early-stage VCs, and individual angels
  • Angels are increasing management activity and follow-on investing

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